Tan-Mansard
0x00214ec9a3abf6ea1b417dc5bf553de732ee7c05
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-703.34
Realised
$17.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
4769 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-124.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
1280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
1208 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18?
1062 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$4.09Apr 17, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$3.00Apr 17, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$4.58Apr 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.00Apr 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.36Apr 17, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.36Apr 17, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.40Apr 17, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.79Apr 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.89Apr 16, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.06Apr 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 01:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".