Strident-Poultry
0x00223bd2fb92f3ae7b9b7332467080508a60b3b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-123.55
Win rate
62%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
351 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-258.35
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
314 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-201.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
233 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
207 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
204 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
195 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-64.54
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
141 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-117.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
123 shares @ 93.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
110 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-83.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00Jul 26, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$50.55Jul 26, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.09Jul 26, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.01Jul 26, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.25Jul 26, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.02Jul 26, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.02Jul 26, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.02Jul 26, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$53.78Jul 26, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$50.17Jul 26, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.01Jul 26, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.86Jul 26, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.01Jul 26, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.02Jul 26, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.01Jul 26, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.06Jul 26, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Jul 26, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$51.03Jul 26, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$50.07Jul 26, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$51.21Jul 26, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $23.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 22:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.