Easy-Breeze
0x0026ff5ba4bbaa10f60d57722a5c1546621d520f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$164.56
Total PnL
$-258.04
Realised
$-1.32
Win rate
17%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
659 shares @ 54.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$161.45
$-194.41
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$-2.05
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on April 28?
952 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 28?
952 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 27?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on May 5?
730 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C or below on April 27?
368 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.00Jun 15, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$1.00Jun 1, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?$1.00May 27, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.00May 23, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 22, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?$9.99May 21, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$1.00May 18, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$1.00May 18, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$0.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$0.93May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 19?$1.04May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 17?$1.00May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?$0.03May 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 18?$1.04May 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?$0.02May 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 18:34 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 17?$1.00May 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 15, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.