Mountainous-Latency
0x003069eb9836c110dc262a6c03ae8088bda05eb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.78
Total PnL
$-162.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.78
$-0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 2?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 7?
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
428 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 31?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.90 October 27-November 2?
359 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$14.80Jul 18, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 8?$291.29Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 8?$291.01Jun 8, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$291.29Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$291.01Jun 1, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$44.04May 25, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?$247.25May 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 22, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?$247.01May 22, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?$1.07May 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$44.00May 22, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$291.29May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$291.01May 15, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$204.41May 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$204.02May 10, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?$1.00May 10, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?$291.29May 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?$1.00May 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?$291.01May 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$111.11May 8, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $152.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.