Gaseous-Bear
0x0033cea3f20d52a43923cf47508ae2d47e1e2ed2
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$31.20
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-9.75
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
10610 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.56
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1132 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.07May 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$3.20May 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.82May 22, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06May 22, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06May 22, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06May 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06May 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06May 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.05May 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.07May 22, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET$1.07May 22, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET$1.07May 22, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET$1.07May 22, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 22, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13May 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30May 22, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".