Spiteful-Smelting
0x003584823abc40934f64cb51c236d0cd7fa53e57
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-390.77
Realised
$-24.60
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
860 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
87 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
58 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
47 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
45 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
45 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
45 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
29 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
29 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.97May 14, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.79May 14, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.91May 14, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.35May 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.95May 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.90May 14, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.10May 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.79May 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.70May 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.95May 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.55May 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.96May 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.15May 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.30May 14, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.47May 14, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.32May 14, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$10.00May 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.15May 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.22May 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.43May 14, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 01:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.