Hefty-Expertise
0x003675f1ee692d1ab65b8d2517ea5a9cab2ddf65
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$574.74
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-76.04
Win rate
49%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
231 shares @ 52.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$116.56
$-4.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?
185 shares @ 67.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$115.79
$-8.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?
129 shares @ 74.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$102.48
$7.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
86 shares @ 73.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$70.52
$7.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?
107 shares @ 56.8¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$67.63
$6.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 24?
60 shares @ 90.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$58.82
$4.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?
34 shares @ 62.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$20.13
$-0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?
19 shares @ 76.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$15.85
$1.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 25?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$6.96
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 8?
839 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-35.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$20.41Jul 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$7.23Jul 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$2.51Jul 23, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?$15.19Jul 23, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?$29.23Jul 23, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$2.99Jul 23, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$3.31Jul 23, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?$36.99Jul 23, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 25?$6.66Jul 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$2.49Jul 23, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$3.31Jul 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$2.65Jul 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$9.26Jul 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$4.63Jul 23, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$3.97Jul 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$1.98Jul 23, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$11.33Jul 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?$5.52Jul 23, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?$9.10Jul 23, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 24?$11.75Jul 23, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
49% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
49 closed markets, 49% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.