Large-Pinworm
0x00487dfd9a2213a602184f3e202a17a347a2d4a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-164.10
Realised
$1.71
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?
2091 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the median home value in the US be between $410,000 and $412,000 by February 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
613 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
612 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.06Mar 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.00Mar 27, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$5.00Mar 27, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.02Mar 27, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.10Mar 27, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$1.81Mar 27, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.33Mar 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.65Mar 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 27, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 27, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$1.60Mar 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$3.00Mar 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$49.05Mar 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$50.00Mar 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$2.00Mar 20, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?$1.10Mar 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.37Mar 20, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.56Mar 20, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.