Personal-Bonding
0x004a09ce862a7b8facfb8d389e5a4ca873f6fb69
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-274.21
Realised
$-36.41
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on February 9?
26681 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 9?
4672 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-32.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 9?
3800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C on February 7?
1004 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 5?
320 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-46.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 9?
204 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 6?
121 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 8?
105 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 7?
104 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 9?
80 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Feb 10, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 9?$27.62Feb 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.10Feb 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 9?$5.88Feb 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 9?$3.80Feb 9, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 9?$29.07Feb 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 9?$55.74Feb 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 9?$4.90Feb 9, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 9?$4.80Feb 9, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 9?$2.93Feb 9, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 9?$0.53Feb 9, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 9?$1.24Feb 9, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 9?$4.70Feb 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 9?$7.79Feb 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 9?$14.72Feb 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 9?$9.20Feb 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 9?$11.80Feb 9, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 9?$4.28Feb 9, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 9?$4.50Feb 9, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 9?$5.40Feb 9, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".