Threadbare-Skill
0x004b636b4597387d0aa868fcc581a82f43c72488
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$19.77
Total PnL
$-6.93
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.07
$0.01
- NO
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.13
$0.00
- NO
Russia coup attempt in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Epstein Presidential Parlay
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?
1 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- INTER
Coppa Italia: AC Milan vs. Inter Milan (To Advance)
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$251.99Nov 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2025?$2.00Nov 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?$10.00Nov 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$3.00Nov 16, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$255.30Nov 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$266.21Nov 16, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$268.60Nov 16, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?$1.00Sep 26, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$1.00Sep 26, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$1.00Sep 26, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMXRP all time high in April?$1.02Sep 26, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.04Sep 26, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.05Sep 26, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 3?$2.00Sep 26, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$2.74Sep 26, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high in April?$1.00Apr 2, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$2.00Apr 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 3?$1.00Apr 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoppa Italia: AC Milan vs. Inter Milan (To Advance)$1.00Apr 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.04Apr 2, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".