Truthful-Arcade
0x004dcce2751c4121503e2e59d2aaa3e70cb106e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.82
Total PnL
$-1.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
152 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?$1.00Nov 17, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia win on 2025-11-21?$1.00Nov 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.00Nov 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".