Probable-Redesign
0x004dd3b672996053cd457a8eccf8754e5c8549e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.35
Total PnL
$-6.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 September 15-21?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$2.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 17?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 September 15-21?$2.00Sep 17, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 17?$1.00Sep 17, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.70Sep 17, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?$1.00Mar 3, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$2.00Mar 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.00Mar 3, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$3.00Jan 15, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$4.00Jan 15, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?$2.47Jan 15, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,250 by January 31?$4.44Jan 15, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,250 by January 31?$2.00Jan 7, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?$2.00Jan 7, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$1.19Jan 7, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMOpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?$1.89Jan 7, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3.53Jan 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3.00Nov 27, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$5.13Nov 27, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?$6.45Nov 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?$4.00Nov 15, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".