Unrealistic-Midline
0x00508d409ed1f629caea20ae0514de547876cad1
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$446.17
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$12.19
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?
205 shares @ 52.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$119.92
$12.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?
183 shares @ 48.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$98.07
$8.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?
234 shares @ 34.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$82.91
$3.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?
110 shares @ 64.8¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$72.60
$1.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?
37 shares @ 52.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$20.87
$1.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?
71 shares @ 18.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$19.47
$6.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?
44 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$14.64
$0.66
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 4?
51 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$12.66
$0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$5.04
$-2.85
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
1817 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-490.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?$3.10Jul 3, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?$80.06Jul 3, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?$107.94Jul 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?$3.15Jul 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?$3.15Jul 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?$65.00Jul 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 4?$108.80Jul 3, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?$11.28Jul 3, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?$5.22Jul 3, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?$18.10Jul 3, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?$0.30Jul 3, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?$4.78Jul 3, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?$24.91Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?$24.73Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?$0.94Jul 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?$19.98Jul 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 4?$104.10Jul 3, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?$1.03Jul 3, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?$9.60Jul 3, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?$3.44Jul 3, 05:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.