Unrealistic-Midline
0x00508d409ed1f629caea20ae0514de547876cad1
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$328.87
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday?
6811 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-662.97
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
1817 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-490.47
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
1333 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-279.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?
1110 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-709.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?
1084 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-397.79
- YES
Will the announcers say "Set Piece" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
646 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-270.89
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?
514 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-213.32
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?
130 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.92
- YES
Will Arjun Erigaisi Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament
110 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.69Aug 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.66Aug 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.24Aug 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.18Aug 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.87Aug 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.64Aug 14, 00:35 UTC
- REWARD$61.27Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$25.00Aug 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.76Aug 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.28Aug 4, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.07Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$256.63Jul 23, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$0.39Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$5.80Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$0.35Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$29.44Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$1.45Jul 23, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$0.35Jul 23, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$2.80Jul 23, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $50.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.