Offensive-Leptocephalus
0x0057d9f6cfaff6e06fb68e71d8de903e8a35b1c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$137.30
Total PnL
$-25.41
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?
1043 shares @ 4.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$63.08
$16.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?
18 shares @ 63.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$18.15
$6.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.25
$7.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
9 shares @ 46.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.58
$1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
17 shares @ 21.4¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.34
$1.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.53
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 23?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.48
$1.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.46
$1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.73
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.37
$0.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$1.71Jul 23, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$0.59Jul 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$1.56Jul 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$0.56Jul 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$0.44Jul 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$0.58Jul 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?$2.10Jul 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$0.27Jul 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$2.05Jul 23, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?$2.06Jul 23, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?$1.76Jul 23, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.