Frequent-Rod
0x0059edf3e569cc2fc65f6c6a30a8ac6eee77808a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.53
Total PnL
$-398.76
Realised
$-6.00
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.63
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 31?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 15?
2449 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or below on June 6?
162 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 8?
89 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31?
64 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?
54 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 31?$1.08Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?$1.09Jul 29, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 31?$1.09Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?$1.09Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?$1.08Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?$1.09Jul 29, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 30?$1.08Jul 29, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 30?$1.08Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 30?$1.08Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?$1.08Jul 29, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 28?$5.97Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28?$2.82Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 28?$3.02Jul 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 28?$1.15Jul 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?$4.60Jul 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 28?$5.16Jul 27, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 28?$5.16Jul 27, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?$5.16Jul 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28?$5.16Jul 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 28?$1.81Jul 27, 01:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.