0x005e959e33345b911999b11d700f6bbafd62164e
0x005e959e33345b911999b11d700f6bbafd62164e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-557.25
Realised
$19.14
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 28?
3024 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 28?
2192 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden?
411 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
144 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 31?
92 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.32Jul 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.04Jul 1, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.05Jul 1, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.16Jul 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.33Jul 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.16Jul 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?$2.88Jul 1, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?$101.66Jul 1, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?$89.05Jul 1, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?$10.34Jul 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?$101.45Jul 1, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?$3.02Jun 30, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?$11.77Jun 30, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?$10.35Jun 30, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?$9.04Jun 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?$10.37Jun 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden?$10.39Jun 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?$10.37Jun 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?$10.35Jun 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?$59.48Jun 30, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.