Lighthearted-Marmalade
0x00613ae16b793e93383b7c254b7f85f60f125a7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.18
Total PnL
$-23.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 2?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.04
$-3.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 20?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?
2090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 22?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 1?
2066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?
1978 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 2?$4.15Jun 2, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 1?$4.13Jun 1, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?$4.18May 30, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.16May 28, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 26?$2.1KMay 27, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 26?$2.1KMay 27, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 26?$2.1KMay 27, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$2.1KMay 26, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$2.1KMay 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$2.1KMay 26, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$2.1KMay 26, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$2.1KMay 26, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$2.1KMay 26, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$2.1KMay 25, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$2.1KMay 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$2.1KMay 25, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?$2.1KMay 25, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?$2.1KMay 25, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?$2.1KMay 25, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 24?$2.1KMay 24, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $958.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".