Troubled-Pyridine
0x006b3af98483ee05420bb5b8a0c2189c2cdc7d5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-437.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?
6375 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?
2840 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?
1801 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?
872 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
741 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
622 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-7.46
- YES
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?
184 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$7.46Jun 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?$20.00Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$20.00Jun 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?$20.00Jun 4, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?$50.00Jun 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?$100.00Jun 2, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?$50.00Jun 2, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?$100.00Jun 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.41Jun 2, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$50.00Jun 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$50.00Jun 1, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on May 31 at 5 PM ET?$0.00Jun 1, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?$0.00Jun 1, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$100.00Jun 1, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?$50.00Jun 1, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on May 31 at 5 PM ET?$50.00May 31, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Autism / Autistic" during the press conference?$0.00May 31, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 30 at 5 PM ET?$0.00May 31, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during the press conference?$0.00May 31, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Coal" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?$0.00May 31, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $57.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.