Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-39.68

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 38

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 7PM ET
1008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8PM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6PM ET
46 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 4, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 4, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.45Jan 31, 08:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Jan 31, 08:31 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 03:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 03:18 UTC
TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - January 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.24Jan 30, 03:17 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.32Jan 30, 03:17 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 03:07 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 03:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 03:05 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.97Jan 27, 22:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 09:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 09:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.76Jan 27, 09:33 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 06:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 06:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 06:08 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jan 27, 06:05 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Jan 27, 06:04 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk42 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 35
Avg trade size: $1.02
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 26, 07:01 UTC
Last active: Feb 4, 12:40 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 21:16:10 UTC·src:Polymarket Data