Avaricious-Mineshaft
0x007c25b6a80e95cb6713c6451c56031cdf986ad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-860.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
870 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
429 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
405 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.59
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
315 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
223 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
171 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$63.59Jan 7, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$100.00Jan 7, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$75.00Jan 7, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?$54.05Jan 7, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$119.05Jan 7, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$100.00Nov 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$100.00Nov 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$100.00Nov 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$100.00Nov 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$132.34Nov 9, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$100.00Nov 9, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?$1.00Nov 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 9?$1.00Nov 9, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on November 14 2025?$20.00Nov 9, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?$20.00Nov 9, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$100.00Nov 9, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$103.52Nov 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$104.94Nov 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$111.49Nov 9, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$217.16Nov 5, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $75.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".