Wilted-Defense
0x00816accec71a24c18475ba18e86199e553c947b
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-73.16
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
502 shares @ 45.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$502.50
$274.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?
474 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$474.00
$187.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$50.00
$7.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?
35 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$35.00
$7.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 1?
35 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$35.00
$28.70
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$4.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.60
$-12.40
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 2?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.10
$-9.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?
2606 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 8?
1897 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 2?$6.121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 2?$3.881h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 2?$10.472h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 2?$3.722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 2?$2.162h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.702h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.442h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.702h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$1.404h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$4.444h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$7.595h ago
- REWARD$1.165h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$1.335h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.096h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.356h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.356h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.3511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 2?$0.7011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$4.8014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$0.4914h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".