Watery-Beggar
0x0086285b7696dcc996041083cae48fb194a164de
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.55
Total PnL
$-0.59
Realised
$4.92
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.50
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 3?
2 shares @ 1.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.36
$0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 2?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.35
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 3?
6 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.12
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.07
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 1?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.05
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 1?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.03
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.03
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 1?
39 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.02
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 2?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.01
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.1920m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.1931m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.1941m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.3055m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?$0.5059m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?$0.313h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?$0.113h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?$0.243h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?$0.294h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 2?$0.074h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 2?$0.434h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 1?$0.504h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 1?$0.076h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 1?$0.156h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 1?$0.507h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 1?$0.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 1?$0.508h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$0.139h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13h ago
- Last active
- 20m ago
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".