Jolly-Bike
0x008b1892196912943505f75734a57157f7d40d01
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.58
Total PnL
$-17.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
4 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.39
$0.39
- NO
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
9800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
8173 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
8163 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
7692 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$2.00Mar 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$4.00Mar 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.00Mar 29, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$4.49Feb 23, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?$5.18Feb 23, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-5.5)$4.0KFeb 22, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-6.5)$2.1KFeb 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-6.5)$2.8KFeb 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$500.00Feb 22, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$1000.00Feb 22, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$2.7KFeb 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$1.3KFeb 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$2.7KFeb 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?$5.00Feb 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$4.00Feb 8, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$5.32Feb 8, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?$6.67Feb 8, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$3.00Jan 31, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?$6.00Jan 31, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.