0x00911d4209ca7bd9206086f54eadb51e2afc88a1
0x00911d4209ca7bd9206086f54eadb51e2afc88a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.49
Total PnL
$-19.57
Realised
$-1.06
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.49
$-0.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11PM ET
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 14?$3.13Aug 14, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on August 14?$3.11Aug 14, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 14?$3.11Aug 14, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.11Aug 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$3.18Aug 14, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.67Aug 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.11Aug 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 11PM ET$2.13Aug 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.11Aug 13, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.17Aug 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.04Aug 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.09Aug 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.84Aug 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.05Aug 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.07Aug 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$5.29Aug 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.07Aug 13, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.