Improbable-Radar
0x009c22ab9661547953dc1e0549f1f661588f846c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 11.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.49
$-1.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
11609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
4643 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2324 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2324 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2323 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2322 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
396 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.01Mar 18, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$1.01Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$1.01Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.54Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$1.00Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$1.00Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1.00Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.02Feb 3, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.51Feb 3, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.53Feb 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by January 31?$2.00Jan 8, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.50Dec 16, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.50Dec 8, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.50Dec 2, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.00Nov 26, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $484.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".