Empty-Perch
0x00a90dd67df74bce195f78c2e993bb06bafa2156
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.18
Total PnL
$-76.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
33 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-3.44
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
310 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
306 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
162 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
24 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Avalanche
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Ducks$1.90Feb 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Utah$5.00Feb 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Avalanche$5.00Feb 27, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMIslanders vs. Canadiens$11.90Feb 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$3.62Feb 18, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$3.62Feb 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$3.58Feb 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIslanders vs. Canadiens$5.00Feb 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$1.83Feb 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$5.00Feb 17, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.