Cheap-Invitation
0x00b4c99da509d843232d1fc824794aeb09f213b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.23
Total PnL
$-525.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1420 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$20.29May 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$18.71May 14, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$18.26May 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$17.04May 13, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?$8.43May 13, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino$8.97May 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino$8.80May 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?$7.04May 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?$5.81May 12, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?$6.08May 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04May 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04May 12, 09:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Mar 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.42Mar 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.52Mar 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$62.50Feb 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-21?$62.50Feb 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-21?$52.99Feb 21, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 12, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $87.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".