Messy-Arrangement
0x00b641ebe1bcf017931a3b9b7113d6aea01836ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.92
Total PnL
$-2.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- MAVERICKS
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Game 5
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$3.85
$2.35
- YES
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2024$3.03
$1.03
- YES
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$2.05
$0.25
- YES
Trump in jail before election day?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Mavericks: Game 5$1.50May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?$2.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$2.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?$1.80May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".