Concerned-Casserole
0x00bae8fadc0831f342521922f69dea6a2673507a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$25.02
Total PnL
$-48.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$25.02
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 47°F or below on April 11?
320 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 25°F or below on April 12?
158 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 11?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- VIVO KEYD STARS
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- 100 THIEVES
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 12?
66 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 11?
25 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
25 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?$25.00May 14, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 25°F or below on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.92Apr 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.00Apr 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.80Apr 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 47°F or below on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".