Distant-Impact
0x00baef7d0233fb59578c7ca8f6710fce3bf03098
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$17.36
Total PnL
$-84.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
6 shares @ 78.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.91
$0.91
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mamdani attend the Rental Ripoff hearing on February 26?$12.63Mar 25, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMNancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?$15.15Mar 25, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$15.87Feb 27, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?$6.17Feb 15, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$8.47Feb 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani attend the Rental Ripoff hearing on February 26?$5.00Feb 12, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?$5.00Feb 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rampage win at Hustler Casino on Friday?$5.00Feb 12, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by February 28?$5.00Feb 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$5.00Feb 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?$5.87Feb 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$5.00Feb 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?$5.00Feb 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$5.00Feb 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.00Feb 8, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$6.94Feb 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.58Feb 1, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$9.43Jan 31, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMAFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$6.76Jan 24, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $16.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.