Bewitched-Hand
0x00bc71b38914ad42936e0d48c9b3463fc79891d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-175.75
Realised
$-9.95
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?
4342 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1355 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 7?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
241 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
127 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.60Dec 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.00Dec 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.00Dec 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$4.00Dec 18, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$4.80Dec 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?$4.81Dec 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?$5.66Dec 12, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?$5.66Dec 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?$5.17Dec 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?$5.17Dec 10, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?$4.91Dec 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?$24.91Dec 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?$26.23Dec 10, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$40.00Dec 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?$16.50Dec 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$20.00Dec 9, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?$20.00Dec 9, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$3.43Dec 9, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?$0.97Dec 9, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".