Imaginative-Hovercraft
0x00da72ad06b4ebb1d507ad6b0db3c792b72d2f03
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.59
Total PnL
$-58.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.59
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 9?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 1?
458 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
400 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 26?
267 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
215 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 21?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.60Jul 17, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14?$102.10Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14?$102.01Jun 14, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$31.06Jun 9, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$72.07Jun 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$72.00Jun 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$31.00Jun 8, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$2.00Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on June 3?$102.10Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$2.00Jun 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on June 3?$102.01Jun 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$102.10May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$102.01May 25, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$103.10May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$95.01May 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$2.14May 19, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$8.00May 19, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $69 Week of May 4 2026?$1.01May 19, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$22.04May 19, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?$16.02May 19, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $61.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.