Productive-Authorisation
0x00df069e0b53d415dd649ae25a003e48bcc197c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$600.00
Total PnL
$-2.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$400.00
$44.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
200 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$200.00
$3.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
500 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
150 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
50 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-19.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$356.00Dec 19, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$46.62Dec 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$120.83Dec 16, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$29.55Dec 16, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?$600.00Dec 16, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$19.95Dec 10, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$14.21Nov 19, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$7.47Nov 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.82Nov 19, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.05Oct 27, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$58.80Oct 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.60Oct 18, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?$599.40Oct 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$99.70Oct 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$113.10Oct 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.80Oct 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$311.00Oct 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$72.30Oct 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$140.70Oct 8, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $172.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.