Lumbering-Dream
0x00e5ab6b62e0803d82100350a7ca22f5e3b953c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$13.63
Total PnL
$-83.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-2.34
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?
653 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.28Jan 5, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.04Jan 5, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$1.00Dec 11, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?$6.25Dec 11, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.68Nov 30, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Platinum Card applications open by December 31?$5.00Nov 22, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Nov 22, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$5.00Nov 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.00Nov 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 22?$2.00Nov 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Nov 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$2.00Nov 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$2.00Nov 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5.00Nov 19, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 14:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".