Lumpy-Sportsman-Paramedic
0x00e67a64a4c59509cc863f876df1f370a941e786
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
11%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?
3539 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-34.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 1?
2641 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?
2509 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?
2287 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?
1945 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
1403 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 29?
1325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1294 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 30?
1111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.04Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.05Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.15Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.20Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.16Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.20Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.20Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.00Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.01Aug 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.10Aug 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.06Aug 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?$0.50Aug 15, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?$0.50Aug 15, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.09Aug 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.10Aug 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.10Aug 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.20Aug 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.10Aug 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.05Aug 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?$0.10Aug 15, 02:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
54 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.