Natural-Dragonfly
0x00f8def5bef90ad180e8da6329ad27655804153b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$109.12
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3PM ET
1289 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
949 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3PM ET
905 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ET
799 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
711 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2PM ET
658 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4PM ET
616 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
606 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ET
599 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET
586 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-88.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$3.14Jul 29, 17:32 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.42Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.16Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$10.55Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$26.15Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.51Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.20Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.41Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.36Jul 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.31Jul 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$5.31Jul 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$10.49Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$10.34Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$5.28Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$29.29Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.21Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$10.34Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET$0.01Jul 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.18Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.