Kind-Dynamite
0x0100c847dec527464523d712dc7e305673f5c58a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$71.76
Total PnL
$-846.68
Realised
$108.58
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.18
$-4.82
- YES
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1110 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.87
$14.87
- YES
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
454 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.71
$-4.29
- YES
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5501 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-55.49
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 310–324 times August 29–September 5?
1979 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
1575 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?
1551 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$160.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.14Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.88Jul 19, 19:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.93Jul 15, 18:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120.07Jul 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.92Jul 14, 19:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $45.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.