Swift-Copyright
0x010395e426e2df31b2cb0a4e1dd0e5af792c067b
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-7.3K
Win rate
18%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will MrBeast raise $50m or more by midnight?
1497 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-119.76
- YES
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
1250 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-239.82
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
746 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-406.87
- YES
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.35
- NO
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
470 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-61.82
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
310 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-182.92
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
230 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.30
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
178 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-74.55
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
120 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.3KMar 15, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$154.50Jan 4, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$500.00Jan 4, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$722.44Jan 4, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.3KJan 4, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Dec 15, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?$0.00Dec 12, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$79.00Dec 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$10.00Dec 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$10.00Dec 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$380.00Dec 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$959.00Dec 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$81.47Dec 10, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.86Dec 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$4.21Dec 9, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$285.00Dec 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$801.24Dec 9, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$32.45Dec 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?$0.85Dec 9, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $100.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.