0x010b6672e9b09738cd0a2c4a51da7069b7bab668
0x010b6672e9b09738cd0a2c4a51da7069b7bab668
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$836.63
Total PnL
$-72.04
Realised
$7.36
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- KAROLINA MUCHOVA
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens
22 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$21.95
$17.78
- UNDER
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
21 shares @ 23.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$21.23
$16.23
- MIRRA ANDREEVA
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva
20 shares @ 22.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$20.12
$15.52
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?
16 shares @ 36.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$16.42
$10.46
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$15.90
$10.02
- UNDER
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$15.63
$11.10
- YES
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$15.00
$11.85
- ATHLETICS
Athletics vs. New York Yankees
15 shares @ 30.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$15.00
$10.45
- HAMAD MEDJEDOVIC
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic
15 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$14.68
$10.42
- UTAH
Oilers vs. Utah
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$12.84
$8.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5$0.25Apr 19, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-5.5)$1.65Apr 19, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5$3.55Apr 19, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-18?$2.80Apr 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-18?$2.40Apr 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.00Apr 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.75Apr 19, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?$2.90Apr 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EC Vitória vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?$2.30Apr 18, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?$2.80Apr 18, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros$2.40Apr 18, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5$2.55Apr 18, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$1.20Apr 18, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5$2.55Apr 18, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5$2.05Apr 18, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-18?$4.55Apr 18, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros$2.40Apr 18, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$3.25Apr 18, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$2.80Apr 18, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$2.80Apr 18, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.