Frightening-Resale
0x010eb86cf38db0bafae95bd71d08b5f3706b239a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-399.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 1AM ET
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 7PM ET
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEM5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? $1.00Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?$1.00Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$1.01Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$1.01Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1.01Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in Q3 2025?$1.01Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$1.04Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?$1.06Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.09Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.09Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$1.12Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.14Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20–25%?$1.15Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.15Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?$1.15Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?$1.16Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.16Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.16Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 15–20%?$1.18Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$1.18Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.