Tricky-Mister
0x01136df3944328b6f95da0fa4628961fb7fab56b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-559.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9AM ET
2200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
1800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
1500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.10
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
600 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET
510 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-491.16
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.39Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 27?$1.16Jun 20, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$2.19Jun 20, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.19Jun 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.30Jun 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.0KJun 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.0KJun 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$0.60Jun 20, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.50Jun 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$8.00Jun 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$10.00Jun 20, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$4.00Jun 19, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$6.33Jun 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$1.67Jun 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$10.00Jun 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$1.68Jun 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$0.14Jun 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$1.22Jun 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$0.80Jun 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$1.20Jun 19, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 17, 12:10 UTC → Jun 17, 12:03 UTC
- SELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$8.5K@100¢Jun 17, 12:03 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
$8.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $131.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.