0x011f35c94eb687d2b1be40a7a66c4371705c896e
0x011f35c94eb687d2b1be40a7a66c4371705c896e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$320.91
Total PnL
$82.17
Realised
$6.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
63 shares @ 39.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$63.21
$38.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?
54 shares @ 44.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$53.92
$30.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?
45 shares @ 15.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$45.28
$38.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?
29 shares @ 52.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$28.47
$13.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?
48 shares @ 37.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$23.16
$5.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?
17 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$16.71
$4.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?
14 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.47
$2.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?
14 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$13.75
$7.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?
28 shares @ 49.7¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$13.55
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$10.97
$6.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 24?$1.21Jul 23, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?$4.82Jul 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 24?$6.17Jul 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?$9.29Jul 23, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?$6.08Jul 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$0.27Jul 23, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$0.14Jul 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$0.36Jul 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$11.39Jul 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$5.99Jul 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$0.67Jul 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$2.00Jul 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 23?$0.12Jul 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?$1.67Jul 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?$4.15Jul 23, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?$1.63Jul 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?$14.56Jul 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$0.97Jul 23, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?$1.84Jul 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?$0.99Jul 23, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.