Digital-Merchant
0x01267fe64f3a95b41f410ff21bc1a4b548d9d1bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-153.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?
220 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 22?
213 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 23?
162 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?
150 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?
138 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 27?
128 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 29?
128 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 31?
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 24?
117 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?
105 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 31?$1.73May 31, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$5.08May 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$92.26May 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$3.13May 9, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$78.81May 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$75.50May 7, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 21?$92.08Apr 30, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 21?$90.79Apr 21, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 23?$95.05Apr 18, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 31?$0.00Apr 12, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 22?$0.00Mar 31, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 23?$0.00Mar 30, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 23?$91.72Mar 29, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on March 27?$76.41Mar 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 27?$75.11Mar 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?$1.73Mar 25, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$88.53Mar 24, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$85.87Mar 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 23?$2.10Mar 23, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on March 21?$84.64Mar 22, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $49.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.