Mature-Superiority
0x012dc2c04f08b109c156c6a1caa7f18962680814
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 3?$1.00Nov 3, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$403.97Nov 3, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$404.38Nov 3, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 22?$1.00Nov 3, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?$1.00Nov 3, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 22?$1.00Sep 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$97.58Sep 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$97.68Sep 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$97.68Sep 22, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$97.79Sep 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$97.79Sep 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$97.89Sep 22, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Aug 8, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.01Aug 8, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.01Aug 8, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?$1.00Aug 8, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?$103.26Aug 8, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?$103.36Aug 8, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?$103.36Aug 8, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?$103.47Aug 8, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $100.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.