0x01370620566a4e05df14b10d4763ac7387c1304a
0x01370620566a4e05df14b10d4763ac7387c1304a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$7.70
Total PnL
$-21.10
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 29.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.77
$4.08
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$0.04
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
171 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- URSA
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- OVER
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$1.25Jul 16, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$1.52Jul 16, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$5.00Jul 9, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$2.95Jul 2, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5$5.00Jun 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 28, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$1.06Jun 25, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5$2.00Jun 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jun 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$5.00Jun 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$0.13Jun 23, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 23, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24Jun 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5$1.00Jun 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMMatteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 4.5$2.00Jun 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54Jun 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jun 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.26Jun 17, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.