Tepid-Wetbar
0x0138b3bc2e781136b276122694cf76df8030044b
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
20000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-889.98
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
11719 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.51
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-319.98
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
3500 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will deokdam (Seo Dae-gil) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
3500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
2500 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-294.98
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
2500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Aurora Gaming win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
2117 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-22.66
- YES
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
2000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
2000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.