Reckless-Inauguration
0x0139e4eacaa3126c67fc22e53ea4a440060d1d18
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
258 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-105.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
97 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
80 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-26.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
73 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-32.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
51 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
42 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
32 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
15 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.66Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.59Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.08Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.32Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.88Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.45Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$18.20Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.52Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.99Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.19Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.19Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.49Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.22Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.32Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.04Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.46May 31, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.54May 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.73May 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.42May 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.34May 24, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.