Coordinated-Accordion
0x013b1dd4f28a4f979c71bf4d12f52452ffd901cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$-211.54
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
10032 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-169.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
5577 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-549.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
5216 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-896.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
3109 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-399.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
3058 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-364.75
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
2330 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1901 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1864 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-235.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists$224.69Jun 15, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$140.31Jun 15, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$231.20Jun 14, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$60.02Jun 14, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$101.68Jun 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$102.58Jun 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5$163.17Jun 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5$254.12Jun 14, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$111.78Jun 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$101.29Jun 14, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5$202.94Jun 14, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5$94.60Jun 14, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5$101.47Jun 14, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye to score first vs. Australia?$101.05Jun 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$102.07Jun 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$103.44Jun 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$95.75Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$833.70Jun 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$17.08Jun 12, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$23.26Jun 12, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $146.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.