Confused-Dragonfruit
0x013bb6734d0b47b3f810bcae2f7cef2847f5c3dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$28.98
Total PnL
$-4.13
Realised
$11.16
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Japan be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.52
$2.67
- YES
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$1.90
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.48
$1.27
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.96
$0.70
- NO
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.57
$0.47
- YES
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.57
$0.47
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
35 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-0.98
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
25 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.37
$-0.37
- NO
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.35
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.18Jun 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.85Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$0.25Jun 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.16Jun 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.15Jun 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$0.85Jun 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$1.05Jun 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.13Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.26Jun 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$4.00Jun 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video?$8.00Jun 4, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSBF released from custody in 2026?$0.80Jun 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSBF released from custody in 2026?$0.10May 31, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?$0.30May 30, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video?$7.85May 30, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?$1.18May 30, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$0.39May 27, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$0.36May 27, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.