Sniveling-Loyalty
0x013dbf08bff373378d1b7a85c3d70349b6aa95e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-462.69
Win rate
1%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
508 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
336 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
280 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
274 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
270 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
261 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
260 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
256 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$51.22Aug 6, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$109.63Aug 4, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$51.90Aug 4, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$121.95Aug 4, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$52.06Aug 4, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$51.92Aug 3, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$51.88Aug 2, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$51.68Aug 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$10.23Aug 1, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$30.61Aug 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.47Aug 1, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$91.36Jul 31, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$51.58Jul 31, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$83.33Jul 31, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$51.40Jul 31, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$51.85Jul 31, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$79.37Jul 31, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$51.29Jul 31, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$87.72Jul 31, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 31?$10.00Jul 31, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
200 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $35.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 04:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.